TSL Express Daily News
The Secured Lender
SFNet's The 81st Annual Convention Issue
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Top 5 Apps for Organizing
Mar 7, 2019If you’re like most of us, we try to stay organized in business and life, but it gets increasingly complicated…
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The Importance of Stretching
Mar 7, 2019Every personal trainer and athletic coach I have ever worked with has stressed the importance of stretching. When working out…
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SFNet's 40 Under 40 Award Winners Panel Recap
Mar 6, 2019Moderator: Samantha Alexander, regional underwriting manager, Wells Fargo Capital Finance’s Corporate Asset Based Lending group and 2016 CFA 40 Under…
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SFNet's Inaugural YoPro Leadership Summit
Mar 6, 2019The Secured Finance Network brought together the next generation of commercial finance leaders for a full day of learning and…
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It’s a Marathon, Not a Sprint
Aug 22, 2018I was recently invited to participate in an executive panel to answer questions from a credit training class comprised of...
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It’s Not Too Late – Five Member Benefits to Cash In On Now
Aug 1, 2018As we hit the half way mark on calendar year 2018, it is a good time to take stock and…
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It’s Time To Break Up With Your Phone
Jul 18, 2018Do I have your attention? Let’s be honest here: do you have the attention span to read this article? Compared…
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Lien Management – What You Need to Know
Jun 6, 2018UCC filing is the cornerstone of all loans and every lien portfolio...
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Potential Impacts of Blockchain on Commercial Lending
Jan 15, 2018By Raja Sengupta, Executive Vice President and General Manager, Wolters Kluwer’s Lien Solutions When it comes to the rising importance…
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How to be a Good Leader
Dec 5, 2017I know what you’re thinking…another article about how to be a good leader? The short answer is yes…but this time,…
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Fintech and Due Diligence – Disruptors and Established Firms Evolve
Oct 30, 2017The fintech sector has gone through a number of manifestations in the past two decades.
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A Commercial Banker’s Tickler Transition Plan
Oct 18, 2017Just do a keyword search for “bank tickler,” and you’ll quickly realize that banks are still heavily reliant on manual…
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Understanding and Developing Your Personal Brand: Four Steps to a More Intentional Career Progression
Sep 5, 2017It is imperative for individuals to have a general idea about their future career aspirations, just as companies should have clearly defined strategies.
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Selecting a Technology Vendor: 3 Questions to Ask
Jul 5, 2017As with anything else at your bank, selecting a technology vendor can be a challenging decision. Users from across different…
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Why Back-Office Lending Automation Enhances Customer Satisfaction
Apr 25, 2017Every bank strives to keep its customers happy. Of course, some institutions are better at achieving this goal than…
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The Lost Art of the Loan Purchase
Mar 2, 2017Purchasing a loan directly from a bank whether at par or discount is a not-often-used technique that is easily…
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Audit Prep: Why a Paperless Approach Makes Sense
Feb 15, 2017How much time does your financial institution spend preparing for audits? We recently surveyed 187 community banks, and the results…
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Back Office Support Services: Helping you approve more clients
Feb 7, 2017How many times have you come across a potential client who’s financials are either not up to date, not accurate,…
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“All Assets” is the Key When Drafting UCC-1 Financing Statement Collateral Descriptions
Jan 30, 2017Even when prepared by outside or in-house counsel, many lenders pay close attention to draft UCC financing statements before they…
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Paper Loan Files: Does Your Bank Know the True Cost?
Jan 12, 2017Sure, there’s a tangible cost associated with deploying an electronic loan imaging system. Software, support, and scanning hardware are just…
August 22, 2024
Source: Reuters
More than two-thirds of lenders in the KBW Regional Banking Index have a greater than 50% chance of being acquired over the next 12 months, according to a Reuters analysis of StarMine M&A data provided by LSEG. The model assigns target scores based on fundamentals, share price valuations and other factors.
The regional banking sector has come under immense pressure as elevated interest rates have dampened borrowing, increased competition for deposits and led to larger losses on commercial real estate loans, forcing banks to scale up and diversify, investors said.
SouthState's acquisition of smaller rival Independent Bank Group which will create a lender with $65 billion in assets is the biggest deal by assets this year. UMB Financial's takeover of Heartland Financial is close behind, creating a bank with $64.5 billion in assets.
UMB CEO Mariner Kemper said in April that Heartland's low-cost deposit base was attractive to the bank and that such deals would allow lenders to expand into new states and access more depositors.
With Treasury yields declining, banks that had delayed deals to avoid crystallizing losses on their securities holdings when yields were high are also expected to explore M&A.
Around 45% of paper losses banks had amassed on their securities holdings have been erased from their peak two years ago, Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo wrote in a report this month.
"As the interest rate and broader macro environment evolve, balance sheets will be able to more readily support M&A, which may lead to more activity," said David Portilla, partner at law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell who advises on financial services M&A.
New York Community Bancorp. whose CRE troubles triggered a sector-wide selloff earlier this year, is the top takeover target among regional banks, according to Reuters' Starmine data analysis, which assigned NYCB a score of 98.
The bank trades at a price-to-book ratio of about 0.48, according to LSEG data. A ratio below one typically indicates an undervalued stock.
NYCB was followed by Valley National (VLY.O), Hope Bancorp (HOPE.O), Banc of California (BANC.N), Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI.O), and Fulton Financial (FULT.O), whose assets range from $17 billion to $62 billion and all trade at a price-to-book ratio of less than one.
"If there is going to be stress and possible attractive valuations, it is going to be down the food chain in terms of the size of the banks," said Brian Mulberry, portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management which holds several bank stocks.
Mulberry said that mid-sized lenders like Fifth Third (FITB.O), and Huntington Bancshares (HBAN.O), might have an appetite to snap up smaller rivals that would allow them to better compete with the likes of JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N), Bank of America (BAC.N), opens new tab and Wells Fargo (WFC.N).
The banks cited above either declined or did not respond to requests for comment.

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